NASCAR at Atlanta odds, picks 2019: Model says Jimmie Johnson surprises at Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500

The 2019 Folds of Honor Quiktrip 500 runs Sunday at Atlanta Motor Speedway and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin will look to follow up his historic win with another strong performance. He is listed at 15-1 at the latest 2019 Folds of Honor Quiktrip 500 chances, with the event’s defending champion, Kevin Harvick, installed as the Vegas favorite at 4-1. Harvick will begin in 18th, but finished second from that place back in 2009 at Atlanta. Then there is Aric Almirola, who won the pole and is going off in 20-1 NASCAR in Atlanta chances. The restrictor plates will probably come off with this race, so before making your own 2019 Folds of Honor Quiktrip 500 picks, be sure to check out the projected leaderboard and latest NASCAR predictions in the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and current results into account.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, including nailing wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top competition from the beginning. Is way, way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Events at iconic venues like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. Now his version mimicked the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta, we could tell you that the version is top on Jimmie Johnson, who surges towards the very top of the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 leaderboard despite going off as a 25-1 long haul.

The seven-time cup champion had a solid run last week at the Daytona 500, finishing ninth as a 43-year-old in his 19th year on NASCAR’s top circuit. Now he heads to a track where he has won five times in his career.

Johnson won the first two races at Atlanta Motor Speedway when the event was shifted from the latter part of this year to correct after Daytona. In addition, he won the late race in Atlanta in 2004 and won both occasions there in 2007.

Johnson will begin in 11th on Sunday, and the model expects NASCAR’s elder statesman to keep close to the front of the pack and provide the possibility of a massive payout.

Another shocker from the model: Kyle Busch, among the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five.

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