UFC FN151 Betting Tips & Plays
View the MMABETMACHINE bets for UFC FN151 below:
Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 decades of age, Burgos is coming into his prime as he chooses on the veteran Cub Swanson. He will have a substantial reach advantage of 5.5 inches and is overall a much larger featherweight. In the pocket Burgos is vastly more technical with crisp mixes and dangerous power. He’s a fantastic camp but his main weakness appears to be defense, where he’s left himself exposed to strikes and been hurt in many recent fights.
Swanson is a far more unorthadox and wild fighter and his style looks to fight against more technical competition. He is on a substantial losing streak where he has looked flat and vulnerable in each fight. It seems Cub is on a a recession which is not surprising given his own era in a division where speed is king. It must be noted that many of Cub’s losses have come to high 10 resistance, but it’s his lack of competitiveness which raise a red flag.
This battle ought to be entertaining with both guys eager to stand and commerce. In the improbable event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances that this might be a close battle, but we hope to see a falling veteran who can not keep up with the technical youthful talent. Back Burgos to get the win , likely in the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and the hometown fighter is taking on the ever relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has considerably better striking than his opponent and retains a BJJ blackbelt. In his career he hasn’t shown the best initial takedown defense but he uses his grappling talents to continue being dangerous and create scrambles. Thus far he’s shown a strong ability to contact his feet. Dvalishvili is basic standing, mostly throwing his hand to prepare level changes. He averages a absurd amount of takedown efforts each fight, compounded by the fact that he struggles to keep top position for extended periods.
In this fight it’s likely Dvalishvili does property takedowns but Katona has plenty of skills to prevent getting stuck onto his spine. More time on the feet for Katona means he’ll maintain control, landing hurt and accumulating rounds. This ought to be a close fight where the value lies with the local underdog.
Bet = Katona at 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming into this fight on short notice and combined with the fact he is fighting a division his chances appear slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter who has a substantial advantage in every area of the fight. On the feet he’s defensively sound and fights long using his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to set the space. Prepolec enjoys to get in close but leaves himself open when entering the pocket. His strikes are he ought to be receptive to counters from Taleb. Size will also be a large element where Prepolec has shown a tendency to get out muscled from the grappling department by much smaller and not as gifted fighters than Taleb. This is likely his safest path to victory where he probably dominates to establish a finish. On short notice debut there are simply too many barriers to overcome and whilst the chances are brief, this looks to be a simple win.
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