UFC236 Betting Tips & Plays
View the MMABETMACHINE bets for UFC236 under:
Israel Adesanya Breakdown
Adesanya comes into this battle with a lot of benefits over the considerably smaller Gastelum, who is giving up nearly 9 inches of reach. On the feet it’s the technical buildup strategy of Adesanya that will give him a substantial edge. He’s got a much more diverse arsenal with powerful leg kicks a strong choice against Kelvin, who will need to remain explosive to have any expectation closing the striking distance. Defensively Adesanya is sound, rolling with punches and never over committing himself to be vulnerable to counter shots. He’s a slow starter but turns up the quantity once he has a stronger feel for his opponent.
Gastelum has quickly boxing mixtures and has utilized this to score some impressive finishes. The standard of Kelvin’s opposition is questionable with lots of elderly fighters crumbling after becoming caught by his superior speed or cardio. Gastelum includes a wrestling background but has not made that a focus of his UFC run. In this battle the size and takedown defense of Adesanya must mean this remains standing. Kelvin has limited paths to victory beyond landing a flush KO shooter and given the reach and defense of Adesanya that does seem unlikely.
Since moving up to Middleweight Gastelum has was impressive regardless of his height and reach. Weidman revealed us that dimension may be a big factor where the older fighters of the division were not able to press the advantage. Adesanya ought to have the ability to control this battle to stay position, where he will have the ability to style on Gastelum from range. Round you can be shut but beyond that it will be one way traffic. A late finish or comfortable decision seem equally likely.Dustin Poirier Breakdown
These guys struggle in what ought to be a very competitive fight. Both guys prefer their striking with Holloway’s volume style taking on Poirier’s technical fundamentals combined with surprising power. The public seem to be over Holloway after his remarkable Ortega triumph and thus the bookie has him lined a substantial favourite. While his boxing and cardio is unmatched at 145lb, it could be a different story here. Poirier hits very hard, with much more energy than anything Max would have undergone lately. If there was a weakness Holloway’s match it is that he takes too many blank shots, and there is no reason a crisp one from Poirier can’t end the fight.
This battle is likely to start off in Poirier’s favour as he lands the more impacting shots and uses his reach advantage. Holloway will have to survive until the later rounds in an effort to overwhelm Poirier with his cardio and pace. Dustin is no slouch in this region and is extremely hard to put away himself. We view this as an early stoppage for Poirier or close decision led into the judges. The center rounds will be pivotal in deciding the winner. At +180 the value is clear, back the more dangerous fighter that has firmly established himself on top of the toughest division in the game.
Bet = Poirier in 2.80 (+180) chances. Risk 4 Units to win 7.2 Units.
Eryk Anders Breakdown
Rountree is a dangerous striker, both powerful and fast, but his one dimensional gameplan makes him very beatable. Of most concern is his gas tank which is quickly depleted as he spams power shots . Additionally his wrestling and grappling is well below average. Rountree is coming off a major KO loss to Johnny Walker.
Anders is quite durable and has a basic but dangerous striking style himself. The trick to victory is going to be his exceptional pressure as he can blend in takedowns to put on Rountree out, negating his power. Rountree is stuck in the bottom of the rankings compared to Anders who recently had aggressive match with the title challenger Santos. Start looking for him to survive a few early scares to then implement his wrestling and take over the fight beyond round one.
Bet = Anders in 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 1.62 Units.
Alan Jouban Breakdown
Jouban comes into this battle with far more expertise but also a 5??? attain drawback. Grant is 34 decades old and unlikely to make huge strides in his overall game. He does not appear very striking with sloppy technique but does have large power to land the kill shot. Jouban’s strength is a concern but he is the far superior fighter. Start looking for him to bring a smart game-plan for this one and utilize his arsenal to out attack Grant. Jouban has sneaky electricity himself but a choice is also likely. .
Bet = Jouban at 2.0 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Max Griffin Breakdown
Imadaev is very unproven and at just 24 decades of age has been winning against poor resistance in the regional scene. He appears to be getting a great deal of respect from the chances makers, potentially due to his Russian heritage. This is a big step upward against Max Griffin who is a tough UFC veteran. He brings strong boxing and power and can blend in the odd takedown when required. Griffin’s question mark is surely his durability, as he has rocked in most fights, but he has a fighters mentality for coming back from adversity. Imadaev could be the real deal in which case that is very likely to be an action packed affair. Otherwise search for Griffin to box up the inexperienced newcomer. At slight underdog odds we like a wager on the more proven fighter.
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